The smoke hasn’t yet cleared from the attack on Saudi Aramco’s facility, but U.S. officials were quick to pin blame on Iran, with some even going so far as to suggest that military strikes could be – and should be – in the offing. But military strikes against Iran would achieve little while exacerbating tensions in the region and increasing the likelihood of a larger military conflict. Embroiling the United States in yet another conflict in the Middle East would undermine Americans' security and erode American values.
The United States has long been the world’s leading arms exporter. Between 2002 and 2018 the United States notified Congress of over $560 billion in sales of major conventional weapons to 167 different nations. Though arms sales can play an important role in American foreign policy, the risks involved with sending billions of dollars of deadly weapons to all sorts of places are significant.To help improve decision making around arms sales, scholars A. Trevor Thrall and Caroline Dorminey created the Arms Sales Risk Index. By identifying the factors linked to negative outcomes like dispersion, diversion, and the misuse of weapons by recipients, the index provides a way to measure the risk involved with arms sales to every nation. We invite scholars and policy makers to read the report and to download the data for further analysis.
Renewed U.S. attention on rival great powers will imbue policy debates on nuclear deterrence and arms control with a degree of importance not seen since the end of the Cold War. In a new book, editors Caroline Dorminey and Eric Gomez bring together a group of diverse thinkers to examine nine nuclear puzzles that American policymakers are trying to solve. This anthology offers a wide view of the most pressing nuclear challenges the United States faces at the dawn of a new era of great power competition.